Crafting Direction Tests

Welcome to the supposedly first actual statistical test of the validity of the crafting compass. The article will consist of four components: my methods, the control, the favored high-quality direction, and the favored success direction. Hopefully it will put many theories to rest and not encourage angry debate. I will not interject my own conclusion, and will allow the results to be a formulation of the reader's own conclusions.

My Methods
I chose a simple and repeatable synth. Each test consists of approximately 240 results. Inaccurate or otherwise invalid data will be removed from the final results (such as those acquired in the middle of a connection loss, or data that was not recorded due to external circumstances such as chat log spam or real-life occurrences). Data will be presented in both raw form and percentage compilation. All results that can be possibly recorded have been recorded, down to the number of materials lost in breaks.

The synth chosen was Tsurara. It consists of an ice crystal congealing 2 distilled water onto 1 rock salt. It caps at level 6 Alchemy. I have level 97 Alchemy (placing me soundly in the 90+ HQ range). I farmed the crystals in Beaucedine Glacier, and crafted in Raimbroy's Grocery. I have also recorded the day and moon phase when I started and when I finished, even though they are unimportant to these results.

The Control
The control was done facing North, an independent direction. It began on Lightningsday with a Waning Crescent (17%) Moon. It ended on Firesday, New Moon (5%).

HQOne: NQ: HQThree: HQOne: HQTwo: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQTwo: HQTwo: NQ: HQThree: NQ: NQ: HQOne: NQ: HQOne: NQ: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: HQTwo: NQ: NQ: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: NQ: NQ: NQ: HQTwo: HQOne: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: NQ: NQ: NQ: NQ: Break, No Mats lost: NQ: HQOne: NQ: HQOne: NQ: Break, Two Mats lost: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQTwo: HQOne: HQOne: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: HQOne: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: Break, Two Mats lost: HQTwo: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQTwo: HQTwo: NQ: HQOne: HQTwo: NQ: HQOne: NQ: NQ: NQ: NQ: HQ? NQ: HQOne: NQ: NQ: NQ: HQOne: NQ: NQ: NQ: NQ: HQOne: HQTwo: NQ: HQOne: HQTwo: NQ: HQOne: NQ: ? NQ: NQ: NQ: NQ: HQOne: HQThree: NQ: NQ: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQTwo: NQ: NQ: NQ: HQTwo: HQOne: NQ: NQ: NQ: NQ: HQOne: HQTwo: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQTwo: NQ: NQ: NQ: HQOne: HQTwo: NQ: NQ: HQOne: NQ: NQ: NQ: NQ: NQ: NQ: HQTwo: NQ: NQ: HQOne: HQTwo: HQThree: NQ: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQTwo: Break, All Mats lost: NQ: Break, No Mats lost: NQ: HQTwo: NQ: HQTwo: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: NQ: HQOne: NQ: NQ: NQ: HQOne: NQ: HQTwo: HQOne: NQ: HQThree: HQTwo: NQ: HQTwo: NQ: NQ: Break, Two Mats lost: HQOne: NQ: NQ: NQ: NQ: Break, One Mat lost: NQ: NQ: HQOne: NQ: HQOne: HQThree: NQ: HQOne: HQOne: HQTwo: NQ: NQ: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: HQTwo: HQTwo: HQOne: NQ: Break, One Mat lost: NQ: NQ: NQ: NQ: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: HQOne: HQOne: NQ: NQ: NQ:

Results: NQ% = 53.17% (126/237)

HQ1% = 29.11% (69/237)

HQ2% = 11.81% (28/237)

HQ3% = 2.53% (6/237)

Break (Total %) = 3.38% (8/237)

Break (No Loss % of Total Synths) = 0.84% (2/237)

Break (One Loss % of Total Synths) = 0.84% (2/237)

Break (Two Loss % of Total Synths) = 1.27% (3/237)

Break (All Loss % of Total Synths) = 0.42% (1/237)

Ideal HQ Direction
Coming soon.